COVID-19 Fall Preparation – September 12, 2020

(CLICK HERE) for the other page I made for you on tracking the west coast fires


Below is what you will find on this page:

How can I prepare for fall surge of COVID-19?

  • What are current COVID-19 stats nationally?
  • Is it true the virus may surge in the fall and why?
  • How do I protect myself indoors as fall approaches?
  • What are some good tips on cleaning?
  • What is the average timelines for positive cases?
  • How can I self quarantine with shared living space?
  • My friend is hosting a home party. How can we stay safe?
  • COVID-19, fires and upcoming election sucks. Can I have a laugh PLEASE?

What are current COVID-19 stats nationally?

Nationally, COVID-19 cases and deaths are in a slight decline.  It is too early to tell if it’s based on seasonal variation or other factors. As states begin to loosen restrictions, please proceed with caution and carefully monitor your county health department. (See this CDC link for historical trends of other viruses.)

National hot spots continue to reside in areas with frequent travel and dense populations, most notably in the metro areas of Miami, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Houston, Dallas, and San Antonio.

Along our international border with Mexico, in smaller counties, there is a notable presence of COVID-19.  News articles indicate significant travel in both directions for work, school, or medical care.

Outbreak Status Links

  • Center for Disease Control (LINK)
  • Outbreak statistics (LINK) (LINK)

Is it true the virus may surge in the fall?

Yes.  Notable institutions like Harvard and MIT created a collaborating working paper to answer the question. They examined 3,739 locations worldwide to determine the “relative covid-19 risk due to weather.” They found that average temperatures above 77 degrees are associated with a reduction in virus transmission.

Each additional 1.8-degree temperature increase above that level was associated with an additional 3.1 percent reduction in the virus’s reproduction number, called R0. (Pronounced “R naught”) That is the average number of new infections generated by each infected person. When the R0 drops below 1, an epidemic begins to wane, although it doesn’t happen overnight. Here’s the reference.

The CDC has been tracking virus seasonality by US Census for a long time. This shows you the variation by region of the country. Take a look at what happens when fall begins.

It is my opinion that the virus won’t stop spreading over the summer, but the viral load will decline. When daily temperatures drop below 77 degrees in the fall, we can expect a very fierce surge of this virus.

How do I protect myself indoors as fall approaches? (Or deal with lung fung from the smoke of west coast fires)

  1. Get HEPA air filters. – Either portable or filters for a whole house system.  Good quality is getting hard to come by so plan ahead.  See this link provided by the EPA
  2. Deep breathing – Either thru mindfulness breathing or exercise.   The following breathing exercises are super important to practice NOW so when you get the virus, this exercise will be second nature to you. (LINK 1) (LINK 2)
  3. Stay well hydrated. – To fight off infection and clear the lungs drinking lots of fluid is recommended.  Soups are a wonderful thing in the fall.  Fresh lemon water is wonderful if regular water is boring to you.
  4. Mega-dosing on vitamins –  This might help you.  It helped stop my 3 month lung fung.  (See below.)
  5. Nasal rinse. Even if you think you are clear, you’d be surprised how good it can make your breathing feel!

I mega-dose on vitamins. I did this because I am medically sensitive with impaired breathing and need surgery which I can’t do now. It is very interesting to note that within 4 days of mega-dosing, my lung infection from the winter of 2019 went away immediately. (Don’t know why exactly, but it got my attention!)

These are my doses in addition to a multi-vitamin. (LINK1) (LINK2)

  • Vitamin C: 3,000 milligrams in divided doses
  • Vitamin D3: 2,000 International Units daily
  • Magnesium: 400 milligrams daily
  • Zinc: 20 milligrams daily
  • Selenium: 100 micrograms daily

Iron and zinc can be particularly upsetting to the stomach so I take those less frequently and it helped. Take vitamins with food. (LINK)

What are some good tips on cleaning?

How long the virus persists on surfaces depends on what kind of surface it is. Studies found that the virus lived longest on stainless steel and polypropylene, which is a type of plastic used in everything from toys to car parts. Soft surfaces tended to be less hospital to the longevity of the virus.

Where the virus survives and how to clean surfaces is critical to know. One issue I see people SCREWING UP CONSTANTLY is the length of time a disinfectant is left on the surface. — The surface should be wet for at least a minute, and with bleach even longer. Read this very valuable article!!! And for more information here is CDC guidance for cleaning your environment.

UV-C spectrum lights are very helpful for destroying the virus. There are 3 UV spectrums. However UV-C is very dangerous to the skin and can cause eye cataracts. If you use this light, it works work great, but stay out of the room while it is in use. UV-C is most effective on solid surfaces and not great on soft surfaces where particles can hide. This video explains how the lights work.

Beware of the fake LEDs on Amazon. Real UV-C bulbs are mercury vapor tubes. Real UV-C will cause bananas to brown very fast, so that’s a good test at home to know if it works.

What is the -AVERAGE- timelines for positive cases?

  • At diagnosis 80%  of cases are mild/moderate, 15%  severe, 5% critical
  • Viral shedding is greatest at time symptoms start
  • From exposure to symptom onset 5-6 days+
  • From symptom onset to recovery for mild cases  is 2 weeks
  • Severe recovery time is 3-6 weeks
  • Symptom onset to death 2-8 weeks

How can I self quarantine with shared living space?

Keep in mind that it can take up to 14 days after initial exposure to test positive. During the quarantine and/or recovery period a household member should not share bedrooms, bathrooms or kitchen, regardless of probable or confirmed exposure.

The greatest difficulty adapting to isolation is to have a private bathroom. Most living situations can accommodate for private bedrooms and packaged meals. Having pets or members of the household with pre-existing conditions become important factors in containing a potential viral presence within the home.

If members of your family cannot feel safe within their current living environment, you need to know this IN ADVANCE and be prepared to adapt. Options outside the home include a hotel, RV or other designated safe space.

For more details on this topic from the CDC, please visit this link.

My friend is hosting a home party. How can we stay safe?

I just recently had a friend that hosted a church gathering in her backyard.  I honestly was very uncomfortable with some things I saw and took this as a good learning opportunity.

For example, all food and beverage items needed to be single serve.  No sharing utensils.  And use a huge table so people can not be so crowded around the food.  Space chairs well.  Make people RSVP and limit attendance.  Provide hand wipes and discourage usage of your house bathroom unless necessary.  Anyone coughing, sniffling or sneezing should politely abstain from attending.

Every event will have different points of vulnerability, so I recommend reviewing what the CDC offers.  They did a good job elaborating on many important points on managing events at this link.

And don’t believe me about how fast germs spread with people?  Then please check out this video.  It should cure any doubters.

COVID-19, fires and upcoming election suck. Can I have a laugh PLEASE?


Bohemian Rhapsody... This would make Freddie Mercury of Queen proud.

 


About the author:  I’m a fire survivor who is trying to take the wisdom I acquired and turn it into a gift for the future.  I sincerely hope that this effort to create a valuable legacy will be successful.

Currently I’m in a beach town in San Luis Obispo to escape the smoke.  It’s been 6 weeks I’ve been gone from the Paradise/Chico area due to the fires.  For the kind subscribers who helped with my hotel costs, THANK YOU!

To any that would still like to help, it would be gleefully appreciated. (PayPal Link).  However please know that what I offer is a gift from the heart, unconditionally, so I hope you enjoy it.  Kind words and feedback actually sustain me more than money to get up every day and keep trying. =) (Email link)

I have specific resiliency plans for displaced disaster survivors which is unique. I sincerely hope the energy and time invested, I am successful in doing this. ~ Time will tell!

Wishing you well. ~ Kimberly Carr